North Korea is in a difficult and unstable position, owing in part to Kim Jong Il's ill health, and a careful, economically directed response, coupled with preparations for possible collapse of the regime and dissemination of material within North Korea making clear the shortcomings of its leadership is what we're likely to see here.
The KPA is over a million strong, with substantial artillery and special forces deployments at the DMZ, in addition to the North's nuclear arms. With Seoul, a city of over 10 million, just a short distance from the border, US troops present and an ongoing NK-China relationship, as well as the prospect of conflict internally strengthening the regime, all out war is the least likely outcome here.
And also: Here is the view of Professor Bechtol (USMC Commend and Staff College) on the competency of the KPA SOF: "These are not your standard North Korean guys. They are the best-trained, best-fed and most indoctrinated soldiers in the North. They know how to fight, and if they are caught, they are trained to kill themselves."
No comments:
Post a Comment